|
ABSTRACT
With the advent of the knowledge-based
economy, the world today is undergoing a learning
revolution. Technological and vocational education, set to
serve industries, plays not only a pioneering role in the
process of industrial development but also a pivotal role in
the enhancement of a nation’s competitiveness. In the new
economic age, technological and vocational education has to
foster constant innovation and continue helping upgrade
industries in order to maintain a sustainable growth. This
study starts with a review of both the global and domestic
trends in the job market, goes through an industrial
estimate and evaluation of the demand for manpower and the
cultivation of talents, and makes suggestions in the form of
innovation strategies for technological and vocational
education in response to industrial upgrading.
Key Words:
Industrial Upgrading, Innovation,
Technological and Vocational Education
Industrial development
is closely related to the development of technological and
vocational education. As there is a need for industrial
elevation, so is there one for talent upgrading. In the new
globalized economy where industries are undergoing a
restructuring, technological and vocational education has to
come up with a new role to play with regard to innovation in
order to perpetuate its role in serving as an engine of
economic growth.
I. INDUSTRIAL TREND
Globalized Economy
The world today is
going through an economic revolution. It is a new economic
system with knowledge workers and universal information and
communication technology and new type chains of business.
It is called the “New Economy” or “Knowledge-based Economy.”
An OECD (Organization of Economic Cooperation and
Development) survey defines the "knowledge economy" as high
technology industries, such as computing and
telecommunications, and those sectors involving a highly
skilled workforce such as finance and education. This
knowledge economy is to facilitate the production in the
part of the world where the cost is the lowest and sell in
the part of the world where profits are the highest by using
the scientific and technical revolution almost exclusively
for this purpose and gearing education to that purpose(Eh
Din, 2005).
The definition of the
knowledge-based economy comes from a UK government white
paper: “A knowledge-driven economy is one in which the
generation and the exploitation of knowledge has come to
play the predominant part in the creation of wealth. It is
not simply about pushing back the frontiers of knowledge; it
is also about the more effective use and exploitation of all
types of knowledge in all manner of economic activity.”(David
Humphreys, 2001)The
long-term trend towards a knowledge-based economy continues.
Science, technology and innovation have become key factors
contributing to economic growth in both advanced and
developing economies(OECD,2005).
With the utilization
of modern telecommunication and computer technologies, work
is increasingly performed through the manipulation of
symbols in computer systems rather than of material objects
(‘textualization of work’). The consequent
deterritorialization and disembodiment of both production
and services have enabled the interlinking of diverse
economic entities, workers and consumers located in
geographically distant sites. Geographically dispersed
workers and managers may be linked together through
telecommunications and computer systems to form complex
chains and networks engaged in producing knowledge,
supporting information technology systems, or providing
remote services(Carol Upadhya, 2005).
This is mainly driven
by the use of information and communication technology (ICT).
In the knowledge economy, information circulates at the
international level through trade in goods and services,
direct investment and technology flows, and the movement of
people. Firms use ICTs to organize transnational networks in
response to international competition and the increasing
need for strategic interaction (OECD,2005).
New technologies and their implementation in productive
activities are changing the economic
structure and contributing to productivity increases in OECD
economies. Some examples of recent trends include: 1) new
channels for knowledge generation, diffusion, protection and
application; 2) new interactions owing to the increasing
importance of networks, linkages, partnerships and mobility;
and 3) new global actors from non-OECD countries (OECD,
2005).
The ICT sector invests
heavily in research and development (R&D). In 2002, ICT
manufacturing industries accounted for more than a quarter
of total business R&D expenditure in most OECD countries.
Investment in ICT represented between 0.35 and 0.9
percentage point of growth in gross domestic product (GDP)
over the period 1995-2003. Australia, Sweden, and the United
States received the largest boost from ICT capital. In
Ireland, Finland and Greece, growth in multi-factor
productivity was also an important source of GDP growth(OECD,
2005).
The age of new economy
means the upgrading of productivity as well as the need for
innovation, a phenomenon that features potential for high
economic growth and low inflation and unemployment rates
(Lin Ping-chung, 2002). Main future trends affecting
business include:
Decentralizing
Authority: Some organizations
will use formal structures such as self-directed work teams,
while others may decentralize decision-making and make it
less formal.
Advertising in the
Internet Age:
Advertisers will
stop letting the specific medium constrain the message;
instead, creative advertisements can hold audience attention
across media.
China Moving
Towards a Market-Economy:
While the
economies of many countries are in a slump today, China's
economy continues to expand at a healthy rate in response to
new economic reforms.
Regulation and
Taxation:The
issue of taxation and regulation is raised in many countries
each year. However, as the percentage of retail sales and
business on the Web increase, there are likely to be more
efforts to tax and regulate the transactions.
Customer
Relationship Management:Companies
will develop a better understanding of how you are actually
reaching customers and how to relate to them whether it is
through the Internet or some traditional retailer channels.
Globalization's
Effect on Doing Business:Companies
can enter the international market more easily and reach out
to more customers in diverse places. At the same time,
companies from other countries can do the same thing. So the
level of competition is likely to increase (FORVIEW, 2005).
There are two factors
affecting industrial development in the new economic age:
technology and innovation. According to McKenzie
Consultants, the upgrading of productivity is largely
attributed to innovation in competitiveness model and
management. And innovation also helps create new market
needs in the economic system and becomes the most important
economic activity in the new economy. The age of service
industries is tantamount to the post-industrial era. Its
role is so important that it has replaced that of industries
in several advanced countries (Lin Ping-chung, 2002). As
output value of the service industries is increasing
rapidly, these industries, ones with intensive knowledge in
particular, will continue to play a leading role in the
world’s industrial development.
2. Industrial Trend
in Taiwan
As globalization has
brought about some structural changes in production,
process, design and marketing of the industries, Taiwan,
which used to be known for its cheap labor, is facing a
pressing need to transform and elevate its industries.
Factors that affect
Taiwan’s economic environment include:
Regional Integration: Free trade agreements ( FTAs)
and regional integration; regional economic and trade
opportunities in constant flux; Taiwan’s investment and
trade development impacted by international political and
diplomatic obstacles.
China Factor:
China’s
attraction of foreign capital and Taiwan’s increasing
reliance on China pose growth risks.
Emerging Countries:
Opportunities and challenges included new investment and
market opportunities in India, Russia, Brazil, etc.; and
growing competitive pressure from South Korea, Singapore,
etc.
Other Factors:
Depreciation of the U.S. dollar against the
New Taiwan dollar due to the worsening American fiscal and
trade position; rising oil prices (Ministry
of Economic Affairs,
2005a).
Taiwan cannot exclude
itself from the international arena when pursuing an
elevation of its industries and, at the same time, turning
it into a center of innovation research. An analysis finds
the following opportunities for Taiwan in facing the
competition:
a. It has to use the
inexpensive labor abundant in developing countries to lower
its production costs.
b. It has to launch an
industrial reengineering to enforce a transformation of its
traditional industries and hoist added value of the
industries
c. It has to expand
the effects of innovation to all areas of its industries.
d. It has to adjust both production and
marketing of its industries to achieve the goal of elevation
and increase in added value.
In terms of creating
job opportunities, Taiwan is capable of 1) developing new
high-tech industries, such as semiconductor and biotech,
resulting in job opportunities for advanced manpower; 2)
developing local industries, such as tourism and culture,
resulting in creating job opportunities for ordinary
manpower, thereby alleviating unemployment among low-tech
and high/medium labors; and 3) facilitating the
transformation and elevation of traditional industries, such
as construction, resulting in the return of unemployed
workers to job markets(National Science Council, 2005).
Taiwan’s strengths in competitiveness come
from its knowledge-oriented manpower. Taiwan’s strong
industries can be seen in Table 1:
Table 1: Taiwan’s Strong Industries
|
Industry |
Strengths |
|
Semiconductor |
*
Low
cost and flexibility in production technology
*
Output value ranked fourth in the world |
|
Software |
*
Research projects fully supported by the government |
|
Information facilities |
* Excellence in technology
commercializing
*
Output value ranked third in the world |
|
Aerospace |
* Experience in project
management on airplane
* Basis
in electronic components and parts |
|
Biotechnology |
*
Agricultural technology |
Ministry of
Economic Affairs(2005e)
http://hirecruit.nat.gov.tw/chinese/html/taiwan_09.htm
The Executive Yuan has
adopted “Service Industry Development Guidelines and Action
Plan” under the theme of “Brighten Taiwan’s Smile.” With
its focus on such items as service, innovation, and
employment aiming to seek a new position for Taiwan, the
project is expected to gain a real 8 percent increase for
the island’s knowledge-intensive service industries by 2008
(Ministry of Economic Affairs, 2005b, see Table 2).
Table 2:
Performance of Taiwan’s
Knowledge-Intensive
Service Industries, 2003-8
|
Item
|
2003 |
2008 |
|
Real
gross production volume (ratio in GDP) |
Knowledge-intensive service industries |
NT$3,090 billion
(31.0%) |
NT$4,540 billion
(35.6%)
|
|
Number
of employed

(ratio in
total employment)
|
Knowledge-intensive
service
industries |
1.6
million persons (16.7%) |
1.849 million persons
(18.1%)
|
Notes:
"f"
means target index
Sources:
Institute of Industrial
Technology Research Institute;
Human Resources Department,
Council of Economic Planning and Development.(Cited
from Ministry of Economic Affairs, 2005b, The strengths and
opportunities of Taiwan’s Industries)
According to an official estimate, by 2008
Taiwan will have achieved a considerable growth in its
trillion NTD industries (automobile, digital hardware,
machinery and equipment), high-growth industries
(semiconductor, flat panel display and communication),
substantial industries (textile, electronic components, and
information services), and twin star industries (digital
content and biotech) (See Figure 1).

Figure 1: Taiwan’s Key Industries and Output
Value 2004-08
Source:Ministry
of Economic Affairs(
2005a)
II. TECHNOLOGICAL
AND VOCATIONAL EDUCATION AND INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT
1. Relations
Between Technological and Vocational Education and
Industrial Development
Shortly after Taiwan’s
retrocession to the Republic of China after 50 years of
Japanese rule, the authorities were engaged in activities
calling for stabilizing the island’s economy. In the 1950s,
land reform and economic development plans were launched.
An export expansion policy was adopted in the 1960s.
Technology- and capital-intensive industries were the main
stay of the economy in the 1970s. A strategic industrial
policy was introduced in the 1980s for the development of
high-tech industries in the 21st century. During the
period, ten new industries and eight key industrial
technologies were proposed, all of them keyed to a huge
market potential, high added value, and low contamination.
With financial support and management guidance, Taiwan was
able to elevate its industries and adjust its functions
through structural changes.
Emphasis in the 1990s
was to help upgrade traditional industries and to
aggressively promote the said ten new industries, including
telecom, information, consumer electronics, semiconductor,
automation, aerospace and high-end material (Ministry of
Economic Affairs, 2005c). In the current century, Taiwan is
known for such industries and technologies as machinery,
electronic OEM (original equipment manufacture), and
aquaculture. In 2003, high-tech industrial products
represented as high as well over 60 percent of Taiwan’s
entire manufacturing output in value. At the same time,
Taiwan is making redoubled efforts to develop
knowledge-intensive services, biotech, and nanotechnology
(Ministry of Economic Affairs, 2005c).
Technological and
vocational education is the engine of Taiwan’s industrial
development. It has played the following roles:
After Retrocession
in 1945: Maintenance of
economic stability and preparations for industrial
development.
During the 1950s:
Symbiotic development of agriculture and industry and
establishment of an Industrial Education Department in
National Taiwan Normal University in support of industrial
development.
During the 1960s:
Promotion of economic
development and establishment of industrial junior colleges.
During the 1970s:
Establishment of the first
technology institute was setup during the period to play a
supporting role in the transformation into technology- and
capital-intensive industries; a dual system placing equal
emphasis on general education and vocational education was
implemented; and the ratio of vocational schools to senior
high schools raised to 7:3.
During the 1980s:
Establishment of more junior
colleges and technology institutes to cope with economic
liberalization and internationalization.
During the 1990s:
Elevation of junior colleges to technology institutes and of
technology institutes to technology universities, with a
view to developing high-tech industries; and vocational
schools transformed into comprehensive high schools.
After 2000:
Technological and vocational education facing a challenge of
transformation as there is a need for the development of
knowledge-based economy and the speedy elevation of
industries; vocational high schools on the increase; and
fewer technology institutes and technology universities.
a.
Industrial Upgrading and
Innovation of Technological and Vocational Education
Globalization has a
big impact on Taiwan’s manufacturing, forcing it to be
elevated and transformed to one that is competitive in a
market where countries like China are catching up (Yang Chia-yen,
2002).
Innovation is the way to perpetuate an
industry. It involves innovation in manufacturing process,
in concept as well as in products. Innovation in
manufacturing process may bring about revolutionary
changes. For example, when choosing such major industries
as biotech and nanotech, the government is eying their
application to traditional industries and other areas,
hoping to push for the elevation of traditional industries
and the creation of new industries (Ho Shiu-tsuang, 2002).
Therefore, we may safely say the core of economic
competition is innovation in knowledge and technology.
According to the OECD, continued market
pressure has resulted in an integration of technologies,
thereby making products and services to be
knowledge-intensive. Innovation refers to knowledge that
can be applied in response to the need of the market. This
is a good way to ensure a nation’s or a company’s
competitiveness.
In accordance with a
conclusion reached at a national technology conference held
last year, the government will promote new high-tech
industries to achieve: 1) convergence of biotech industries
and establishment of biotech funds, 2) development of
strategy-oriented and knowledge-based services, 3) better
talent cultivation, and 4) transition from e-Taiwan toward
m-Taiwan (NATEA, 2005).
How will technological and vocational
education help promote industrial upgrading? A concept
calling for “winning by not competing” from a widely
discussed book titled “Blue Ocean Strategy” can be
employed. In other words, uniqueness or differentiation can
achieve the goal of winning without competing(Hsu Ming-ju,
2005a). Only through this approach can Taiwan avoid a
cutthroat competition. As far as technological and
vocational education is concerned, the following four
approaches can be adopted to reconstruct the system: 1)
elimination of old-fashioned ways of talent cultivation, 2)
reduction of the curriculum aimed to develop “blue-color”
manpower, 2) upgrading of the quality of contents with
regard to high technology, and 4) adoption of new concepts,
new teaching methods, and new systems.
III. STATUS OF
MANPOWER SUPPLY
1.
Trend of International
Manpower Development
a.
Labor Force
According to the
latest employment projections of the U.S. Bureau of Labor
Statistics (BLS), the number of persons working or looking
for work is expected to reach 162 million by 2012. The labor
force is projected to show steady growth, increasing by 17
million, or 12 percent, over the 2002 level. As the
baby-boom generation ages, the number of people in the labor
force aged 55 to 64 is projected to grow by 51 percent, more
than four times the average for all age groups. The number
of labor force participants aged 65 and older is expected to
grow by 43 percent. The women’s labor force participation
rate continues to edge upward. The share of women in the
labor force is projected to increase from 46.5 percent in
2002 to nearly 47.5 percent in 2012(Michael W.
Horrigan,2005).
b. Industry
Employment Growth
Industry
employment growth over the 2002-12 decade is projected to be
concentrated in the service-providing sectors. The
professional and business services sector, which accounted
for about 12 percent of industry employment in 2002, is
projected to grow nearly twice as fast as the overall
economy. Education and health services, transportation and
warehousing, and information industries also are among the
fastest growing. Among goods-producing industries,
construction is projected to gain about one million jobs.
Employment in manufacturing is expected to decline slightly.
Eight of the 20 industries projected to add the most new
jobs also are expected to be among the fastest growing.
These include computer systems design and related services,
investigation and security services, and community care
facilities for the elderly(ibid.).See Figure 2.

Figure 2 Fastest
Growing Industries
Information
Source:Occupational
Outlook Quarterly. Winter 2003-04
c. Occupational
Employment
Among occupational
groups, the professional and related occupations group,
followed by services, is expected to increase the fastest
and add the most jobs. Education, training, and library
occupations are projected to increase by 2.1 million jobs
and healthcare practitioner and technical occupations by 1.7
million. Sixteen of the 20 fastest growing occupations are
related to healthcare or computers, including medical
assistants and network systems and data communications
analysts. Registered nurses and teachers are expected to
gain the most new jobs—more than 600,000 each. Several of
the occupations projected to have high employment increases
relate to education, although high growth occupations span
diverse areas of interest. (Occupational Outlook Quarterly.
Winter, 2003-04).
2. Trend of
Domestic Manpower Needs
a. Structure of
Workforce
The labor
participation rate, peaking at 60.9 percent in 1887, has
been on the decrease due to a slow growth in the workforce.
The rate stood at 57.7 percent in 2004. It is expected to
rise to 59 percent by 2015. The number of the employed
increases to 11,113,000 persons in 2005 from 9,786,000
registered in 2004. The average job opportunity will be up
to 1.2 percent between 2005 and 2015 from 0.8 percent
between 2001 and 2004. Unemployment will be 0.2 percent
between 2005 and 2015.
i.
Age
In 2004, those aged
25-49 remained the main force in the labor market,
representing 71.4 percent. They were followed by the 50-64
age group at 16.3 percent; by the 15-24 age group at 10.8
percent; and by those above 65 years of age 1.5 percent.
Due to the aging population and a decrease in the number of
children, a labor force of those aged 15-24 will be reduced
by 1.6 percent annually while that of the 50-64 age group
increased by 4.7 percent per year and 6.5 percent for the
group of 65 and above. Figures for 2015 will be 8 percent
for the 15-24 age group, 65.4 percent for the 25-49 age
group, 24 percent for the 50-64 age group, and 2.7 percent
for those 65 and above. This means the middle- and
high-aged groups will become the major force in the job
market by then.
ii. Level of Education
The level of education
of the public is increasing due to an omnipresence of senior
high schools. In 2004, about 37.7 percent of those 15 years
old and older had a junior high diploma or lower, while
10.3 percent were with a senior high diploma, 23.2 percent
with a vocational high diploma, 13 percent with a junior
college degree, and 5.8 percent with a college degree or
higher. There will be a big rise in the number of college
students, with its increase rate reaching an average of 6
percent between 2005 and 2015. By 2015, those with college
degrees and higher will get 27.1 percent of the entire job
market, followed by those with junior high education and
lower (26.3 percent), while those with vocational high
education, junior college diplomas and senior high education
followed at 22.2 percent, 13.9 percent, and 10.6 percent,
respectively.
iii. Occupation
In 2004, services took
a lion’s share of 58.2 percent, followed by industry at 35.2
percent and agriculture at 6.6 percent. Of the services,
manufacturing represented 27.3 percent, followed by
wholesale and retail (17.6 percent) and construction (7.5
percent). The annual increase rate for manufacturing was a
mere 0.2 percent and for construction, -3.1 percent. The
biggest increase was in such services as professional,
science, technology, medical care, and social welfare, which
registered an average rise of 4.9 percent. Trailing behind
were hotel and food & beverage, 4.7 percent; public
administration, 4.3 percent; and culture, sports and
leisure, 3.9 percent. According to an estimate made by the
Council for Economic Planning and Development, in the next
10 years, the fast growing occupations are professional,
science, and technology (4.1 percent), culture, sports, and
leisure (3.9 percent), medical care and social welfare (2.8
percent), and hotel and restaurant (2.2 percent). Those
that will register a negative growth are mining (3.5
percent) and construction (0.3 percent). By 2015, services
will account for 62.3 percent of the entire lines (See Table
3).
Table 3 Projection of Occupations
iv.
|
Items |
Workforce
(Per Thousand) |
Occupational Structure(﹪) |
Annual
Increase Rate
(﹪)
|
|
2000 |
2004 |
2008 |
2015 |
2000 |
2004 |
2008 |
2015 |
2001-04 |
2005-08 |
2009-15 |
2005-15 |
|
Total |
9,491 |
9,786 |
10,338 |
11,113 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
100 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
1 |
1.2 |
|
Agriculture |
738 |
642 |
591 |
556 |
7.8 |
6.6 |
5.7 |
5 |
-3.4 |
-2.1 |
-0.9 |
-1.3 |
|
Industry |
3,534 |
3,446 |
3,540 |
3,631 |
37.2 |
35.2 |
34.2 |
32.7 |
-0.6 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
|
Mining |
11 |
7 |
6 |
5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0 |
-9.2 |
-3.9 |
-3.3 |
-3.5 |
|
Manufacturing |
2,655 |
2,671 |
2,755 |
2,884 |
28 |
27.3 |
26.7 |
26 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
|
Water and Electricity |
36 |
35 |
34 |
33 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
-1.1 |
-0.5 |
-0.2 |
-0.4 |
|
Construction |
832 |
732 |
744 |
708 |
8.8 |
7.5 |
7.2 |
6.4 |
-3.1 |
0.4 |
-0.7 |
-0.3 |
|
Services |
5,220 |
5,698 |
6,207 |
6,927 |
55 |
58.2 |
60 |
62.3 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
|
Wholesale and Retail |
1,701 |
1,727 |
1,816 |
1,929 |
17.9 |
17.6 |
17.6 |
17.4 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
1 |
|
Hotel and Food & Beverage
|
500 |
602 |
687 |
767 |
5.3 |
6.1 |
6.6 |
6.9 |
4.7 |
3.4 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
|
Transportation, Warehouse, and Telecom
|
481 |
489 |
511 |
539 |
5.1 |
5 |
4.9 |
4.8 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
|
Finance and Insurance |
367 |
386 |
430 |
477 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
1.3 |
2.7 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
|
Real Estate and Leasing
|
66 |
74 |
78 |
85 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
2.9 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
|
Profession Science and Technology
|
250 |
302 |
365 |
468 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
4.2 |
4.9 |
4.8 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
|
Education |
479 |
533 |
555 |
565 |
5.1 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.1 |
2.7 |
1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
|
Medical Care and Social Welfare
|
252 |
305 |
358 |
415 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
4.9 |
4.1 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
|
Culture, Sports and Leisure
|
165 |
192 |
224 |
294 |
1.7 |
2 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
4 |
3.9 |
|
Other Services |
643 |
716 |
807 |
1,011 |
6.8 |
7.3 |
7.8 |
9.1 |
2.7 |
3 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
|
Public Administration |
315 |
373 |
375 |
378 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
4.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
Source:Council
of Economic Planning and Development(2005a)
The plan of Second Manpower Development
in new Century |
Profession
As far as the
occupational structure in 2004 is concerned, white-color
workers accounted for 41.4 percent of the total, followed by
service personnel and sales people (18.9 percent),
agricultural and fishery personnel (6.4 percent), and
blue-color workers (33.3 percent). Among the white-color
workers, 18.1 percent, or the largest group, were
technicians and professional assistants, with clerks and
other professionals trailing behind. The smallest group was
the management, 4.6 percent. According to a projection of
the Council for Economic Planning and Development, the
fastest growing profession in the next 10 years is that of
professionals at 3.3 percent, followed by technicians and
professional assistants, management, and clerks, in that
order. The negative growing profession is that of
agricultural and fishery personnel (-1.4 percent and -0.3
percent). By 2015, white-color workers will account for
47.1 percent; service and sales people, 19.7 percent;
agriculture and fishery workers, 4.9 percent; and blue-color
workers, 28.3 percent. Among the white-color, technicians
and professional assistants will become the largest group.
b. Manpower Demand
and Supply
i. School Enrolments
Due to a decrease in
the number of children, enrolments of schools at all levels
in 2003, except for higher education, were on the
downtrend. The average annual enrolment growth rate was
–3.1 percent for elementary schools, -.1.6 percent for
junior high schools, -0.4 percent for senior high schools,
-1.2 percent for vocational high schools, -3.7 percent for
junior colleges, 1.1 percent for university undergraduate
programs, and 8.2 percent for university graduate programs.
The average annual graduation growth rates for schools at
all levels were similar.
ii. Level of Education
In 2004, those with
junior high education and lower represented 30.4 percent,
with senior high school graduates accounting for 9 percent;
vocational high school graduates, 27.7 percent; junior
college graduates, 17.1 percent; and university graduates,
15.8 percent. The number of high school graduates was small
because most of them went on to college. In the next 10
years, the fastest annual growth rate will be 6.3 percent
for those at the university undergraduate level and higher,
followed by junior college graduates (1.4 percent),
vocational high school graduates (1.3 percent), senior high
school graduates (0.6 percent), and those with junior high
education and lower (-3.3 percent). By 2015, vocational
high school and university graduates will be about 27
percent, meaning those having higher educational degrees
will be more popular in the job market.
iii. Occupation
According to the
Council for Economic Planning and Development, in the next
10 years, the number of people to be engaged in agriculture
will be up by an average of 40,000, or 5.7 percent of the
total increase, while that in industry, 266,000, or 38.2
percent, and in services, 390,000, or 56.1 percent.
Specifically, the largest increase lies in manufacturing
with 241,000, or 34.6 percent of the total, followed by
medical care and social welfare, 141,000, or 20.2 percent of
the total; wholesale and retail, 68,000, or 9.7 percent;
other services, 51,000, or 7.3 percent; and hotel and
restaurant, 33,000, or 4.7 percent. In other words, workers
for manufacturing, medical care, social welfare, and
wholesale and retail will be most needed in the next decade.
iv. Profession
In the next 10 years,
the white-color labor force will rise by an average of
201,000, or 28.9 percent of the total increase. Other
figures include servers and salespeople, 108,000, or 15.5
percent of the total; agriculture and fishery workers,
38,000, or 5.5 percent of the total; blue-color workers,
349,000, or 50.1 percent. Of the white-color workers, 4,300
are civil servants and business managers, while there will
be 6,600 professionals, 12,500 technicians and professional
assistants, and 5,500 clerks.
v. Distribution of
Manpower
Among the workforce in
2004, manpower at the junior level was 43.7 percent while
those at the intermediate and senior levels were 46.2
percent and 10.1 percent, respectively. In the next 10
years, the senior level workforce will register the fastest
increase of 2.8 percent, followed by intermediate-level
workers at 1.7 percent and junior-level workers at 0.1
percent.
vi. Manpower Increase
In the next 10 years,
the junior-level labor force will grow by an average of
370,000, or 53.2 percent of the total increase, while
intermediate-level workers will increase by 261,000, or 37.6
percent, and senior-level workers by 64,000, or 9.2 percent.
vii. Manpower Supply
and Demand
In the next 10 years, manpower supply at the
senior level will be 41,000; at the intermediate level,
266,000; at the senior professional and management level,
20,000. But the need at the junior level during the same
period is 371,000; at the intermediate level, 262,000; and
at the senior level, 65,000. That indicates that there will
be a shortage of 330,000 at the junior level in the next
decade and 45,000 at the senior level, whereas an oversupply
of 4,000 will be seen at the intermediate level. Details
are shown in Table 4.
|
Table 4: Demand and Supply of Manpower -- Technical
Level |
|
Unit:Thousand |
|
Technical
Level |
2005-8
Annual Average
|
2009-15
Annual Average |
2005-2015
Annual Average |
|
Supply |
Demand |
Comparison |
Supply |
Demand |
Comparison
|
Supply |
Demand |
Comparison |
|
Total |
332 |
689 |
-357 |
324 |
700 |
-376 |
327 |
698 |
-371 |
|
Senior Professional and
Management
Workforce |
15 |
65 |
-50 |
23 |
64 |
-41 |
20 |
65 |
-45 |
|
Intermediate Workforce |
273 |
262 |
11 |
261 |
261 |
0 |
266 |
262 |
4 |
|
Junior Workforce |
44 |
362 |
-318 |
40 |
375 |
-335 |
41 |
371 |
-330 |
|
Source:Council
of Economic Planning and Development(2005a)
The plan
of Second Manpower Development in new Century |
IV. INNOVATION
STRATEGY FOR TECHNICAL AND VOCATIONAL EDUCATION
1.
Talent Cultivation
In recent years, the
number of senior vocational schools has been falling while
that for senior high schools is on the increase, with the
rise at 312 for senior high and 161 for vocational high in
the year 2004. Economic development has led to the
reduction in the number of agriculture schools and
industrial transformation has resulted in the decrease of
commercial and industrial schools. While a downtrend is
seen in the category of vocational high schools, there is a
rise in the number of home economics schools (See Table 5).
Table 5:
Statistics of Various Senior Vocational High Schools
|
Academic
Year |
1983 |
1984 |
1986 |
1988 |
1990 |
1992 |
1994 |
1996 |
1998 |
2000 |
2002 |
2004 |
|
Number of
Senior High Schools |
176 |
176 |
175 |
168 |
170 |
186 |
196 |
217 |
242 |
242 |
302 |
312 |
|
Number
of
Senior
Vocational
High
Schools |
Total |
202 |
201 |
204 |
212 |
216 |
211 |
206 |
204 |
201 |
188 |
170 |
161 |
|
Agriculture |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
4 |
|
Agriculture and Industry |
17 |
17 |
17 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
18 |
|
Industry |
35 |
35 |
35 |
33 |
31 |
30 |
31 |
30 |
30 |
30 |
28 |
28 |
|
Industry and Home
Economics |
0 |
0 |
5 |
14 |
22 |
22 |
20 |
18 |
16 |
15 |
10 |
9 |
|
Industry and Commerce |
87 |
87 |
83 |
79 |
71 |
66 |
61 |
61 |
63 |
59 |
52 |
49 |
|
Commerce |
27 |
26 |
24 |
23 |
22 |
21 |
19 |
19 |
19 |
19 |
18 |
18 |
|
Home Economics and
Commerce |
7 |
7 |
11 |
16 |
21 |
23 |
25 |
25 |
23 |
22 |
21 |
21 |
|
Home Economics |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
|
Nursing |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
|
Marine Product |
6 |
6 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
|
Medical Administration and
Nursing |
13 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
13 |
12 |
7 |
5 |
3 |
|
Drama and Art |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
|
Commerce and Marine
Product |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
|
Nursing and industry |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
|
Others |
2 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Resources: Department
o f Statistics, Ministry of Education 11/2005
There were 1,285,867
college students in 2004, with large numbers seen in such
majors as business and management, engineering, mathematics
and computer, medicine and public health, and humanities.
There were 41,691 undergraduate students majoring in
information management, followed by business administration
majors (39,924), electrical engineers (25,666), finance
majors (21,936), mechanical engineers (21,456), electronic
engineers (18,981), accounting majors (18,626), information
technology engineers (18.468), international trade majors
(16,813), and Chinese literature students (11,188).
At the master’s level,
3,667 students majored in electrical engineering, 3,248 in
information technology engineering, 2,900 in mechanical
engineering, 2,323 in business administration, 2,198 in
information management, 1,698 in electronics, 1,544 in law,
1,502 in chemical engineering, 1,486 in civil engineering,
and 1,334 in chemistry. At the doctoral level, 1,418
students majored in EE, 1,140 in information technology
engineering, 1,052 in mechanical engineering, 716 in Chinese
literature, 693 in chemistry, 594 in chemical engineering,
594 in civil engineering, 565 in business administration,
456 in material science and engineering, and 408 in
information management (Ministry of Education, 2005).
The above figures
indicate that emphasis at the undergraduate level is placed
on management, on management and engineering at the master’s
level, and on engineering at the doctoral level. A
distribution of budget allocations for 2006 for the purpose
of talent cultivation in the Economics Ministry affiliated
organizations finds that 20.5 percent goes to digital
content, 18.3 percent to projects for expansion in supply of
industrial R&D personnel at the master’s level, 11.1 percent
to international trade, 8 percent to semiconductor, 5.6
percent to chip systems, 3.7 percent each to image
development and digital learning, and 2.6 percent to
intellectual property. The figures show that the government
is placing more emphasis on digital content and
semiconductor as well as technology-related fields.
However, efforts must also be made to tap talents in areas
like marketing, design and communication to promote the
development of knowledge-intensive service industries.
2.
Innovation of Technological
and Vocational Education
The
development of a global economy has created a highly
competitive marketplace. Many countries are reviewing their
vocational education and training (VET) systems in the light
of this trend. Rapid changes in the workplace and new
technologies mean that a flexible responsive workforce with
a high level of skills is a crucial factor in economic
growth and competitiveness(British Council, 2005).
a. Continuing
Education:
The world is facing
the problem of an aging population. Between 2005 and 2015,
Taiwan’s workforce comprising those aged 50-64 will go up by
4.7 percent per year and that composed of those 65 years or
older by 6.5 percent, indicating the middle- and higher-aged
groups will become the main stay. As a result, technological
and vocational education will play an important role in
reeducating those employed and waiting for employment in a
lifelong learning society.
b. Promotion of
Marketing and Design:
Taiwan’s industry was
built up from manufacturing, and has accumulated an
abundance of domain knowledge and talents. How to help
those professionals absorb new technology is now the focal
point in the cultivation of more talents to meet the
challenge of globalization. The core of technological and
vocational education should be centered on innovation, with
a view to facilitating transformation of traditional
industries by tapping human resources in the fields of
design research and brand marketing.
c. Corresponding
Courses:
As the service
industries have become the mainstay of industrial
development, Taiwan’s technological and vocational education
must emphasize the importance of marketing and customer
service, or, in other words, the creation of added value.
Practical courses in concert with market needs are strongly
suggested to follow the trend toward service-oriented
industries.
d.
Knowledge-Intensive Courses:
Technological and
vocational education has to shift emphasis from labor- and
technology-intensive courses to knowledge-based ones.
Knowledge-based industries will be star industries in the
next 10 years with enormous room for development (Council
for Economic Planning and Development, 2005b). The focal
point of technological and vocational education should be on
knowledge-intensive education.
e. Tapping of
Talents for Major Industries:
Taiwan's
economy has entered a new phase of industrialization, and
the existing production model of large-scale manufacturing
has gradually lost its competitive advantage. In addition to
high-tech development, Taiwan must build a more flexible
productive organization system to increase the
competitiveness of the knowledge-based economy(Government
Information Office ,2005)
Since the service
industries are the wave of the future and the practice of
outsourcing is changing the mode of international division
of labor, Taiwan must take measures to face the challenge
squarely. In addition to the development of high-tech,
innovative and new service industries and the cultivation of
talents needed, the government should also help make
traditional industries sustainable by producing added value.
Technological and vocational education must respond to
national economic planning and development by tapping
talents to meet industrial demand.
f. Service
Workforce:
To meet the coming of
service industries, school departments and curricula must be
adjusted to coordinate with the 12 major
government-appointed service industries in fostering related
talents. These industries include finance, telecom, medical
care, workforce distribution, and engineering consultation.
In particular, emphasis must be placed on the creative and
cultural industry flourishing in the advanced countries, a
move that will help expand domestic markets, create job
opportunities, and materialize industrial transformation
(Hsu M.J.2005b).
g. Workforce
Planning:
To cope with
globalization and the knowledge-based economic development,
the authorities responsible for technological and vocational
education should work with people in industrial and academic
circles to work out a job forecast model that can provide
accurate statistics for the government in its planning on
human resources. In line with the trend in the next 10
years, emphasis of technological and vocational education
should be centered on manufacturing, medical care and social
welfare, wholesale and retail.
As blue-color workers
constitute the largest group in need, vocational high
schools should be kept but their curricula must be amended
to meet with the structural changes in industry. As for
white-color workers, the goal is to enhance professional
capability through teaching rather than through research and
academic development. Technological and vocational education
must consider Overall conditions should be taken into
consideration in planning for technological and vocational
education rather than simply following the step of general
education.
h. International
Accreditation:
As people carrying
letters of accreditation are easier to get jobs, a system
must be set up to award accreditation to people who have
completed professional training. New types of accreditation
are to be identified through joint efforts between
industries and schools. The technique-qualified
accreditation should be promoted actively on integrating the
current categories of occupation, while industries must be
invited to participate in the compilation of indexes of core
competency and curriculum. The credibility of certification
should be set up for the support of industry to create more
job opportunities. The system should be built with an
understanding that it is following the world trend, which
calls for promoting international accreditation to make
Taiwan’s talents more competitive.
i. Amplification of
On-the-Job Training:
The goal is to
“combine learning and employment.” In other words, under
the principle of uniting “training, examination, and
employment,” what should be avoided is the gap between
talent cultivation and market demand and what should be
promoted is the cooperation between school education and
on-the-job training. Industrial immigration and
transformation make it necessary for higher technology and
vocational education to meet with the development of
occupation clusters, combine social resources, promote
strategy between school and industry, implement on-the-job
training for employees, and develop the model for
aptitude-based curricula. It is beneficial for the
organization to upgrade career development of employees and
increase the efficiency of management and
competitiveness.
j. Vocational Education for the
Underprivileged:
Different from past,
the technical art education in junior high schools is
positioned as “ career exploration ” on the work market.
Boys and girls must be provided with more job opportunities
by gaining professional skills starting from vocational high
schools or occupation programs of comprehensive high
schools. Making available a sound and fair learning
environment for the underprivileged is one of the most
important jobs for vocational education. Similar
opportunities must also be given to the unemployed and the
aged among the underprivileged. Technological and vocational
education plays a critical role in upholding fairness and
justice for people with low social and economic status.
k. Education for
All:
Take the United States
for instance. Of the 56 million jobs available between 2002
and 2012, some 42 million are open to those who have no
university degrees (Occupational Outlook Quarterly, 2004).
Vocational schools are the place where the underprivileged
can undergo training to acquire basic work skills, while
technological institutes and universities offer
undergraduate degrees and advanced studies. Opportunities
should also be given all the people to receive continuing
education.
l. Repositioning of Technological and
Vocational Education:
Globalization has
multidimensional impact on society, industry and education.
To cope with globalization, technological and vocational
education must be retrofitted in the structure of
organizations. Stages from junior high schools have to be
repositioned:
Junior High
Schools: Students should be
taught to understand current job markets.
Senior Vocational
High Schools: The curriculum
must be readjusted to provide multiple choices for students.
Junior Colleges:
Technicians are trained.
Technology Universities:
Talents should be trained for industrial
upgrading.
V. CONCLUSION
Technological and
vocational education was Taiwan’s engine of growth, which
helped create an economic miracle of the twentieth century.
Because of globalization, Taiwan’s industrial structure has
changed from a labor- and technology-intensive one to a
knowledge-based one. As a result, technological and vocation
education has to be adjusted in response to waves of the
industrial revolution. The change is highly likely to bring
an end to the traditional mechanism for the cultivation of
professional talents. While talent cultivation should not be
confined to target industry, special attention must be paid
to evoking dignity of learners.
As Taiwan has entered into an era in which
technology, information and services are calling the shots,
it is highly necessary to cultivate skilled workers for
knowledge-based industries and those with capabilities of
marketing brands and coming up with quality designs. In
short, the ultimate goal of technological and vocational
education is to promote the upgrading of industries. The
transformation of industry may lead to a crisis of technical
and vocational education, but it offers an opportunity,
too. Technological and vocational education, if right
decisions are made, has chances to make more progress (2006
Taiwan Development Perspectives).
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|