教文(研)095-006號

中華民國九十五年七月十一日

July  11 ,2006 

 

Industrial Upgrading Through Innovation of Technological and Vocational Education

 

1 YUNG, Chaur-shin, 2 HSU, Ming-ju

1 Chair Professor, Tamkang University ;

Convener, Education and Culture Division, National Policy Foundation

2 Associate Research Fellow, Education and Culture Division, National Policy Foundation

 

ABSTRACT

With the advent of the knowledge-based economy, the world today is undergoing a learning revolution.  Technological and vocational education, set to serve industries, plays not only a pioneering role in the process of industrial development but also a pivotal role in the enhancement of a nation’s competitiveness. In the new economic age, technological and vocational education has to foster constant innovation and continue helping upgrade industries in order to maintain a sustainable growth.  This study starts with a review of both the global and domestic trends in the job market, goes through an industrial estimate and evaluation of the demand for manpower and the cultivation of talents, and makes suggestions in the form of innovation strategies for technological and vocational education in response to industrial upgrading.

Key WordsIndustrial Upgrading, Innovation,

      Technological and Vocational Education

 

Industrial development is closely related to the development of technological and vocational education.  As there is a need for industrial elevation, so is there one for talent upgrading.  In the new globalized economy where industries are undergoing a restructuring, technological and vocational education has to come up with a new role to play with regard to innovation in order to perpetuate its role in serving as an engine of economic growth.

 

I. INDUSTRIAL TREND

 

Globalized Economy

The world today is going through an economic revolution. It is a new economic system with knowledge workers and universal information and communication technology and new type chains of business.  It is called the “New Economy” or “Knowledge-based Economy.” An OECD (Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development) survey defines the "knowledge economy" as high technology industries, such as computing and telecommunications, and those sectors involving a highly skilled workforce such as finance and education. This knowledge economy is to facilitate the production in the part of the world where the cost is the lowest and sell in the part of the world where profits are the highest by using the scientific and technical revolution almost exclusively for this purpose and gearing education to that purpose(Eh Din, 2005). 

The definition of the knowledge-based economy comes from a UK government white paper: “A knowledge-driven economy is one in which the generation and the exploitation of knowledge has come to play the predominant part in the creation of wealth. It is not simply about pushing back the frontiers of knowledge; it is also about the more effective use and exploitation of all types of knowledge in all manner of economic activity.”David Humphreys, 2001The long-term trend towards a knowledge-based economy continues. Science, technology and innovation have become key factors contributing to economic growth in both advanced and developing economies(OECD,2005).  

With the utilization of modern telecommunication and computer technologies, work is increasingly performed through the manipulation of symbols in computer systems rather than of material objects (‘textualization of work’).  The consequent deterritorialization and disembodiment of both production and services have enabled the interlinking of diverse economic entities, workers and consumers located in geographically distant sites. Geographically dispersed workers and managers may be linked together through telecommunications and computer systems to form complex chains and networks engaged in producing knowledge, supporting information technology systems, or providing remote services(Carol Upadhya, 2005).   

This is mainly driven by the use of information and communication technology (ICT). In the knowledge economy, information circulates at the international level through trade in goods and services, direct investment and technology flows, and the movement of people. Firms use ICTs to organize transnational networks in response to international competition and the increasing need for strategic interaction (OECD,2005). 

New technologies and their implementation in productive activities are changing the economic structure and contributing to productivity increases in OECD economies. Some examples of recent trends include: 1) new channels for knowledge generation, diffusion, protection and application; 2) new interactions owing to the increasing importance of networks, linkages, partnerships and mobility; and 3) new global actors from non-OECD countries (OECD, 2005). 

The ICT sector invests heavily in research and development (R&D). In 2002, ICT manufacturing industries accounted for more than a quarter of total business R&D expenditure in most OECD countries. Investment in ICT represented between 0.35 and 0.9 percentage point of growth in gross domestic product (GDP) over the period 1995-2003. Australia, Sweden, and the United States received the largest boost from ICT capital. In Ireland, Finland and Greece, growth in multi-factor productivity was also an important source of GDP growth(OECD, 2005). 

The age of new economy means the upgrading of productivity as well as the need for innovation, a phenomenon that features potential for high economic growth and low inflation and unemployment rates (Lin Ping-chung, 2002). Main future trends affecting business include:

Decentralizing Authority: Some organizations will use formal structures such as self-directed work teams, while others may decentralize decision-making and make it less formal.

Advertising in the Internet Age: Advertisers will stop letting the specific medium constrain the message; instead, creative advertisements can hold audience attention across media.

China Moving Towards a Market-Economy: While the economies of many countries are in a slump today, China's economy continues to expand at a healthy rate in response to new economic reforms.

Regulation and TaxationThe issue of taxation and regulation is raised in many countries each year. However, as the percentage of retail sales and business on the Web increase, there are likely to be more efforts to tax and regulate the transactions.

Customer Relationship ManagementCompanies will develop a better understanding of how you are actually reaching customers and how to relate to them whether it is through the Internet or some traditional retailer channels.

Globalization's Effect on Doing BusinessCompanies can enter the international market more easily and reach out to more customers in diverse places. At the same time, companies from other countries can do the same thing. So the level of competition is likely to increase (FORVIEW, 2005).

There are two factors affecting industrial development in the new economic age: technology and innovation.  According to McKenzie Consultants, the upgrading of productivity is largely attributed to innovation in competitiveness model and management.  And innovation also helps create new market needs in the economic system and becomes the most important economic activity in the new economy.  The age of service industries is tantamount to the post-industrial era.  Its role is so important that it has replaced that of industries in several advanced countries (Lin Ping-chung, 2002).  As output value of the service industries is increasing rapidly, these industries, ones with intensive knowledge in particular, will continue to play a leading role in the world’s industrial development.

2. Industrial Trend in Taiwan 

As globalization has brought about some structural changes in production, process, design and marketing of the industries, Taiwan, which used to be known for its cheap labor, is facing a pressing need to transform and elevate its industries. 

Factors that affect Taiwan’s economic environment include:

Regional Integration: Free trade agreements ( FTAs) and regional integration; regional economic and trade opportunities in constant flux; Taiwan’s investment and trade development impacted by international political and diplomatic obstacles.

China Factor: China’s attraction of foreign capital and Taiwan’s increasing reliance on China pose growth risks.

Emerging Countries: Opportunities and challenges included new investment and market opportunities in India, Russia, Brazil, etc.; and growing competitive pressure from South Korea, Singapore, etc.

Other Factors: Depreciation of the U.S. dollar against the New Taiwan dollar due to the worsening American fiscal and trade position; rising oil prices (Ministry of Economic Affairs, 2005a).

Taiwan cannot exclude itself from the international arena when pursuing an elevation of its industries and, at the same time, turning it into a center of innovation research.  An analysis finds the following opportunities for Taiwan in facing the competition:

a. It has to use the inexpensive labor abundant in developing countries to lower its production costs.

b. It has to launch an industrial reengineering to enforce a transformation of its traditional industries and hoist added value of the industries

c. It has to expand the effects of innovation to all areas of its industries.

d. It has to adjust both production and marketing of its industries to achieve the goal of elevation and increase in added value.

In terms of creating job opportunities, Taiwan is capable of 1) developing new high-tech industries, such as semiconductor and biotech, resulting in job opportunities for advanced manpower; 2) developing local industries, such as tourism and culture, resulting in creating job opportunities for ordinary manpower, thereby alleviating unemployment among low-tech and high/medium labors; and 3) facilitating the transformation and elevation of traditional industries, such as construction, resulting in the return of unemployed workers to job markets(National Science Council, 2005). 

Taiwan’s strengths in competitiveness come from its knowledge-oriented manpower.  Taiwan’s strong industries can be seen in Table 1:

Table 1: Taiwan’s Strong Industries

Industry 

Strengths

Semiconductor

* Low cost and flexibility in production technology

* Output value ranked fourth in the world

Software

* Research projects fully supported by the government

Information facilities

* Excellence in technology commercializing

* Output value ranked third in the world

Aerospace

* Experience in project management on airplane

* Basis in electronic components and parts

Biotechnology

* Agricultural technology

Ministry of Economic Affairs2005e

http://hirecruit.nat.gov.tw/chinese/html/taiwan_09.htm 

The Executive Yuan has adopted “Service Industry Development Guidelines and Action Plan” under the theme of “Brighten Taiwan’s Smile.”  With its focus on such items as service, innovation, and employment aiming to seek a new position for Taiwan, the project is expected to gain a real 8 percent increase for the island’s knowledge-intensive service industries by 2008 (Ministry of Economic Affairs, 2005b, see Table 2). 

Table 2:  Performance of Taiwan’s Knowledge-Intensive

 Service Industries, 2003-8

Item 

2003

2008圖片_註解

Real gross production volume (ratio in GDP)

Knowledge-intensive service industries

NT$3,090 billion 圖片_註解  (31.0%)

 

NT$4,540 billion

  (35.6%)

 

Number of employed 圖片_註解
(ratio in total    employment)

Knowledge-intensive service

industries

1.6 million persons (16.7%)

1.849 million persons (18.1%)

 

Notes: "f" means target index

Sources:圖片_註解 Institute of Industrial Technology Research Institute圖片_註解 Human Resources Department, Council of Economic Planning and Development.Cited from Ministry of Economic Affairs, 2005b, The strengths and opportunities of Taiwan’s Industries 

According to an official estimate, by 2008 Taiwan will have achieved a considerable growth in its trillion NTD industries (automobile, digital hardware, machinery and equipment), high-growth industries (semiconductor, flat panel display and communication), substantial industries (textile, electronic components, and information services), and twin star industries (digital content and biotech) (See Figure 1).

Figure 1:  Taiwan’s Key Industries and Output Value 2004-08

SourceMinistry of Economic Affairs 2005a

II. TECHNOLOGICAL AND VOCATIONAL EDUCATION AND INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT

1. Relations Between Technological and Vocational Education and Industrial Development 

Shortly after Taiwan’s retrocession to the Republic of China after 50 years of Japanese rule, the authorities were engaged in activities calling for stabilizing the island’s economy.  In the 1950s, land reform and economic development plans were launched.  An export expansion policy was adopted in the 1960s.  Technology- and capital-intensive industries were the main stay of the economy in the 1970s.  A strategic industrial policy was introduced in the 1980s for the development of high-tech industries in the 21st century.  During the period, ten new industries and eight key industrial technologies were proposed, all of them keyed to a huge market potential, high added value, and low contamination.  With financial support and management guidance, Taiwan was able to elevate its industries and adjust its functions through structural changes. 

Emphasis in the 1990s was to help upgrade traditional industries and to aggressively promote the said ten new industries, including telecom, information, consumer electronics, semiconductor, automation, aerospace and high-end material (Ministry of Economic Affairs, 2005c).  In the current century, Taiwan is known for such industries and technologies as machinery, electronic OEM (original equipment manufacture), and aquaculture.  In 2003, high-tech industrial products represented as high as well over 60 percent of Taiwan’s entire manufacturing output in value. At the same time, Taiwan is making redoubled efforts to develop knowledge-intensive services, biotech, and nanotechnology (Ministry of Economic Affairs, 2005c). 

Technological and vocational education is the engine of Taiwan’s industrial development.  It has played the following roles:

After Retrocession in 1945: Maintenance of economic stability and  preparations for industrial development.

During the 1950s: Symbiotic development of agriculture and industry and establishment of an Industrial Education Department in National Taiwan Normal University in support of industrial development.

During the 1960s: Promotion of economic development and establishment of industrial junior colleges.

During the 1970s: Establishment of the first technology institute was setup during the period to play a supporting role in the transformation into technology- and capital-intensive industries; a dual system placing equal emphasis on general education and vocational education was implemented; and the ratio of vocational schools to senior high schools raised to 7:3. 

During the 1980s: Establishment of more junior colleges and technology institutes to cope with economic liberalization and internationalization.

During the 1990s: Elevation of junior colleges to technology institutes and of technology institutes to technology universities, with a view to developing high-tech industries; and vocational schools transformed into comprehensive high schools.

After 2000: Technological and vocational education facing a challenge of transformation as there is a need for the development of knowledge-based economy and the speedy elevation of industries; vocational high schools on the increase; and fewer technology institutes and technology universities. 

a.      Industrial Upgrading and Innovation of Technological and Vocational Education 

Globalization has a big impact on Taiwan’s manufacturing, forcing it to be elevated and transformed to one that is competitive in a market where countries like China are catching up (Yang Chia-yen, 2002).   

Innovation is the way to perpetuate an industry.  It involves innovation in manufacturing process, in concept as well as in products.  Innovation in manufacturing process may bring about revolutionary changes.  For example, when choosing such major industries as biotech and nanotech, the government is eying their application to traditional industries and other areas, hoping to push for the elevation of traditional industries and the creation of new industries (Ho Shiu-tsuang, 2002).  Therefore, we may safely say the core of economic competition is innovation in knowledge and technology.

According to the OECD, continued market pressure has resulted in an integration of technologies, thereby making products and services to be knowledge-intensive.  Innovation refers to knowledge that can be applied in response to the need of the market.  This is a good way to ensure a nation’s or a company’s competitiveness.

In accordance with a conclusion reached at a national technology conference held last year, the government will promote new high-tech industries to achieve: 1) convergence of biotech industries and establishment of biotech funds, 2) development of strategy-oriented and knowledge-based services, 3) better talent cultivation, and 4) transition from e-Taiwan toward m-Taiwan (NATEA, 2005).

How will technological and vocational education help promote industrial upgrading?  A concept calling for “winning by not competing” from a widely discussed book titled “Blue Ocean Strategy” can be employed.  In other words, uniqueness or differentiation can achieve the goal of winning without competing(Hsu Ming-ju, 2005a). Only through this approach can Taiwan avoid a cutthroat competition.  As far as technological and vocational education is concerned, the following four approaches can be adopted to reconstruct the system: 1) elimination of  old-fashioned ways of talent cultivation, 2) reduction of the curriculum aimed to develop “blue-color” manpower, 2) upgrading of the quality of contents with regard to high technology, and 4) adoption of new concepts, new teaching methods, and new systems.

III. STATUS OF MANPOWER SUPPLY

 

1.      Trend of International Manpower Development

 

a.      Labor Force

According to the latest employment projections of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the number of persons working or looking for work is expected to reach 162 million by 2012. The labor force is projected to show steady growth, increasing by 17 million, or 12 percent, over the 2002 level. As the baby-boom generation ages, the number of people in the labor force aged 55 to 64 is projected to grow by 51 percent, more than four times the average for all age groups. The number of labor force participants aged 65 and older is expected to grow by 43 percent. The women’s labor force participation rate continues to edge upward. The share of women in the labor force is projected to increase from 46.5 percent in 2002 to nearly 47.5 percent in 2012(Michael W. Horrigan,2005).

 

b. Industry Employment Growth

Industry employment growth over the 2002-12 decade is projected to be concentrated in the service-providing sectors. The professional and business services sector, which accounted for about 12 percent of industry employment in 2002, is projected to grow nearly twice as fast as the overall economy. Education and health services, transportation and warehousing, and information industries also are among the fastest growing. Among goods-producing industries, construction is projected to gain about one million jobs. Employment in manufacturing is expected to decline slightly. Eight of the 20 industries projected to add the most new jobs also are expected to be among the fastest growing. These include computer systems design and related services, investigation and security services, and community care facilities for the elderly(ibid.).See Figure 2.

Figure 2 Fastest Growing Industries

Information SourceOccupational Outlook Quarterly. Winter 2003-04

c. Occupational Employment

Among occupational groups, the professional and related occupations group, followed by services, is expected to increase the fastest and add the most jobs.  Education, training, and library occupations are projected to increase by 2.1 million jobs and healthcare practitioner and technical occupations by 1.7 million. Sixteen of the 20 fastest growing occupations are related to healthcare or computers, including medical assistants and network systems and data communications analysts. Registered nurses and teachers are expected to gain the most new jobs—more than 600,000 each. Several of the occupations projected to have high employment increases relate to education, although high growth occupations span diverse areas of interest. (Occupational Outlook Quarterly. Winter, 2003-04).

2. Trend of Domestic Manpower Needs

a. Structure of Workforce

The labor participation rate, peaking at 60.9 percent in 1887, has been on the decrease due to a slow growth in the workforce.  The rate stood at 57.7 percent in 2004.  It is expected to rise to 59 percent by 2015.  The number of the employed increases to 11,113,000 persons in 2005 from 9,786,000 registered in 2004.  The average job opportunity will be up to 1.2 percent between 2005 and 2015 from 0.8 percent between 2001 and 2004.  Unemployment will be 0.2 percent between 2005 and 2015.

i.         Age

In 2004, those aged 25-49 remained the main force in the labor market, representing 71.4 percent. They were followed by the 50-64 age group at 16.3 percent; by the 15-24 age group at 10.8 percent; and by those above 65 years of age 1.5 percent.  Due to the aging population and a decrease in the number of children, a labor force of those aged 15-24 will be reduced by 1.6 percent annually while that of the 50-64 age group increased by 4.7 percent per year and 6.5 percent for the group of 65 and above.  Figures for 2015 will be 8 percent for the 15-24 age group, 65.4 percent for the 25-49 age group, 24 percent for the 50-64 age group, and 2.7 percent for those 65 and above.  This means the middle- and high-aged groups will become the major force in the job market by then.

ii. Level of Education

The level of education of the public is increasing due to an omnipresence of senior high schools.  In 2004, about 37.7 percent of those 15 years old and older  had a junior high diploma or lower, while 10.3 percent were with a senior high diploma, 23.2 percent with a vocational high diploma, 13 percent with a junior college degree, and 5.8 percent with a college degree or higher.  There will be a big rise in the number of college students, with its increase rate reaching an average of 6 percent between 2005 and 2015.  By 2015, those with college degrees and higher will get 27.1 percent of the entire job market, followed by those with junior high education and lower (26.3 percent), while those with vocational high education, junior college diplomas and senior high education followed at 22.2 percent, 13.9 percent, and 10.6 percent, respectively.

iii. Occupation

In 2004, services took a lion’s share of 58.2 percent, followed by industry at 35.2 percent and agriculture at 6.6 percent.  Of the services, manufacturing represented 27.3 percent, followed by wholesale and retail (17.6 percent) and construction (7.5 percent).  The annual increase rate for manufacturing was a mere 0.2 percent and for construction, -3.1 percent.  The biggest increase was in such services as professional, science, technology, medical care, and social welfare, which registered an average rise of 4.9 percent. Trailing behind were hotel and food & beverage, 4.7 percent; public administration, 4.3 percent; and culture, sports and leisure, 3.9 percent.  According to an estimate made by the Council for Economic Planning and Development, in the next 10 years, the fast growing occupations are professional, science, and technology (4.1 percent), culture, sports, and leisure (3.9 percent), medical care and social welfare (2.8 percent), and hotel and restaurant (2.2 percent).  Those that will register a negative growth are mining (3.5 percent) and construction (0.3 percent).  By 2015, services will account for 62.3 percent of the entire lines (See Table 3).

                       Table 3  Projection of Occupations

iv.

Items

Workforce

 (Per Thousand)

Occupational Structure(﹪)

Annual Increase Rate (﹪)

 

2000

2004

2008

2015

2000

2004

2008

2015

2001-04

2005-08

2009-15

2005-15

Total

9,491

9,786

10,338

11,113

100

100

100

100

0.8

1.4

1

1.2

 Agriculture

738

642

591

556

7.8

6.6

5.7

5

-3.4

-2.1

-0.9

-1.3

 Industry

3,534

3,446

3,540

3,631

37.2

35.2

34.2

32.7

-0.6

0.7

0.4

0.5

Mining

11

7

6

5

0.1

0.1

0.1

0

-9.2

-3.9

-3.3

-3.5

Manufacturing

2,655

2,671

2,755

2,884

28

27.3

26.7

26

0.2

0.8

0.7

0.7

Water and Electricity

36

35

34

33

0.4

0.4

0.3

0.3

-1.1

-0.5

-0.2

-0.4

Construction

832

732

744

708

8.8

7.5

7.2

6.4

-3.1

0.4

-0.7

-0.3

Services

5,220

5,698

6,207

6,927

55

58.2

60

62.3

2.2

2.2

1.6

1.8

Wholesale and Retail

1,701

1,727

1,816

1,929

17.9

17.6

17.6

17.4

0.4

1.3

0.9

1

Hotel and Food & Beverage

500

602

687

767

5.3

6.1

6.6

6.9

4.7

3.4

1.6

2.2

Transportation, Warehouse, and Telecom

481

489

511

539

5.1

5

4.9

4.8

0.4

1.1

0.8

0.9

Finance and Insurance

367

386

430

477

3.9

3.9

4.2

4.3

1.3

2.7

1.5

1.9

Real Estate and Leasing

66

74

78

85

0.7

0.8

0.8

0.8

2.9

1.6

1.1

1.3

Profession Science and Technology

250

302

365

468

2.6

3.1

3.5

4.2

4.9

4.8

3.6

4.1

Education

479

533

555

565

5.1

5.4

5.4

5.1

2.7

1

0.2

0.5

Medical Care and Social Welfare

252

305

358

415

2.7

3.1

3.5

3.7

4.9

4.1

2.1

2.8

Culture, Sports and Leisure 

165

192

224

294

1.7

2

2.2

2.6

3.9

3.9

4

3.9

Other Services

643

716

807

1,011

6.8

7.3

7.8

9.1

2.7

3

3.3

3.2

Public Administration

315

373

375

378

3.3

3.8

3.6

3.4

4.3

0.1

0.1

0.1

Source:Council of Economic Planning and Development2005a)

The plan of Second Manpower Development in new Century

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Profession

As far as the occupational structure in 2004 is concerned, white-color workers accounted for 41.4 percent of the total, followed by service personnel and sales people (18.9 percent), agricultural and fishery personnel (6.4 percent), and blue-color workers (33.3 percent).  Among the white-color workers, 18.1 percent, or the largest group, were technicians and professional assistants, with clerks and other professionals trailing behind.  The smallest group was the management, 4.6 percent.  According to a projection of the Council for Economic Planning and Development, the fastest growing profession in the next 10 years is that of professionals at 3.3 percent, followed by technicians and professional assistants, management, and clerks, in that order. The negative growing profession is that of agricultural and fishery personnel (-1.4 percent and -0.3 percent).  By 2015, white-color workers will account for 47.1 percent; service and sales people, 19.7 percent; agriculture and fishery workers, 4.9 percent; and blue-color workers, 28.3 percent.  Among the white-color, technicians and professional assistants will become the largest group.

b. Manpower Demand and Supply

i. School Enrolments

Due to a decrease in the number of children, enrolments of schools at all levels in 2003, except for higher education, were on the downtrend.  The average annual enrolment growth rate was –3.1 percent for elementary schools, -.1.6 percent for junior high schools, -0.4 percent for senior high schools, -1.2 percent for vocational high schools, -3.7 percent for junior colleges, 1.1 percent for university undergraduate programs, and 8.2 percent for university graduate programs.  The average annual graduation growth rates for schools at all levels were similar.

ii. Level of Education

In 2004, those with junior high education and lower represented 30.4 percent, with senior high school graduates accounting for 9 percent; vocational high school graduates, 27.7 percent; junior college graduates, 17.1 percent; and university graduates, 15.8 percent.  The number of high school graduates was small because most of them went on to college.  In the next 10 years, the fastest annual growth rate will be 6.3 percent for those at the university undergraduate level and higher, followed by junior college graduates (1.4 percent), vocational high school graduates (1.3 percent), senior high school graduates (0.6 percent), and those with junior high education and lower (-3.3 percent).  By 2015, vocational high school and university graduates will be about 27 percent, meaning those having higher educational degrees will be more popular in the job market.

iii. Occupation

According to the Council for Economic Planning and Development, in the next 10 years, the number of people to be engaged in agriculture will be up by an average of 40,000, or 5.7 percent of the total increase, while that in industry, 266,000, or 38.2 percent, and in services, 390,000, or 56.1 percent.  Specifically, the largest increase lies in manufacturing with 241,000, or 34.6 percent of the total, followed by medical care and social welfare, 141,000, or 20.2 percent of the total; wholesale and retail, 68,000, or 9.7 percent; other services, 51,000, or 7.3 percent; and hotel and restaurant, 33,000, or 4.7 percent.  In other words, workers for manufacturing, medical care, social welfare, and wholesale and retail will be most needed in the next decade.

iv. Profession

In the next 10 years, the white-color labor force will rise by an average of 201,000, or 28.9 percent of the total increase.  Other figures include servers and salespeople, 108,000, or 15.5 percent of the total; agriculture and fishery workers, 38,000, or 5.5 percent of the total; blue-color workers, 349,000, or 50.1 percent.  Of the white-color workers, 4,300 are civil servants and business managers, while there will be 6,600 professionals, 12,500 technicians and professional assistants, and 5,500 clerks.

v. Distribution of Manpower

Among the workforce in 2004, manpower at the junior level was 43.7 percent while those at the intermediate and senior levels were 46.2 percent and 10.1 percent, respectively. In the next 10 years, the senior level workforce will register the fastest increase of 2.8 percent, followed by intermediate-level workers at 1.7 percent and junior-level workers at 0.1 percent.

vi. Manpower Increase

In the next 10 years, the junior-level labor force will grow by an average of 370,000, or 53.2 percent of the total increase, while intermediate-level workers will increase by 261,000, or 37.6 percent, and senior-level workers by 64,000, or 9.2 percent.

vii. Manpower Supply and Demand

In the next 10 years, manpower supply at the senior level will be 41,000; at the intermediate level, 266,000; at the senior professional and management level, 20,000.  But the need at the junior level during the same period is 371,000; at the intermediate level, 262,000; and at the senior level, 65,000.  That indicates that there will be a shortage of 330,000 at the junior level in the next decade and 45,000 at the senior level, whereas an oversupply of 4,000 will be seen at the intermediate level.  Details are shown in Table 4.

Table 4:  Demand and Supply of Manpower -- Technical Level

UnitThousand

Technical Level

2005-8 Annual Average 

2009-15 Annual Average

2005-2015 Annual Average

Supply

Demand

Comparison

Supply

Demand

Comparison

Supply

Demand

Comparison

Total

332

689

-357

324

700

-376

327

698

-371

Senior Professional and Management

 Workforce

15

65

-50

23

64

-41

20

65

-45

Intermediate Workforce

273

262

11

261

261

0

266

262

4

Junior Workforce

44

362

-318

40

375

-335

41

371

-330

SourceCouncil of Economic Planning and Development2005a

The plan of Second Manpower Development in new Century

 

IV. INNOVATION STRATEGY FOR TECHNICAL AND VOCATIONAL EDUCATION

1.      Talent Cultivation

In recent years, the number of senior vocational schools has been falling while that for senior high schools is on the increase, with the rise at 312 for senior high and 161 for vocational high in the year 2004.  Economic development has led to the reduction in the number of agriculture schools and industrial transformation has resulted in the decrease of commercial and industrial schools.  While a downtrend is seen in the category of vocational high schools, there is a rise in the number of home economics schools (See Table 5).

Table 5:  Statistics of Various Senior Vocational High Schools

Academic Year

1983

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

Number of Senior High Schools

176

176

175

168

170

186

196

217

242

242

302

312

Number

of

Senior

Vocational

High

Schools

Total

202

201

204

212

216

211

206

204

201

188

170

161

Agriculture

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

6

4

Agriculture and Industry

17

17

17

18

18

18

18

18

18

18

18

18

Industry

35

35

35

33

31

30

31

30

30

30

28

28

Industry and Home Economics

0

0

5

14

22

22

20

18

16

15

10

9

Industry and Commerce

87

87

83

79

71

66

61

61

63

59

52

49

Commerce

27

26

24

23

22

21

19

19

19

19

18

18

Home Economics and Commerce

7

7

11

16

21

23

25

25

23

22

21

21

Home Economics

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

2

Nursing

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

Marine Product

6

6

6

6

7

5

5

5

5

5

5

5

Medical Administration and Nursing

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

13

12

7

5

3

Drama and Art

0

0

2

2

3

3

3

4

4

2

2

2

Commerce and Marine Product

0

0

0

0

0

2

2

2

2

1

2

2

Nursing and industry

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

1

1

2

1

0

Others

2

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Resources:  Department o f Statistics, Ministry of Education  11/2005

There were 1,285,867 college students in 2004, with large numbers seen in such majors as business and management, engineering, mathematics and computer, medicine and public health, and humanities.  There were 41,691 undergraduate students majoring in information management, followed by business administration majors (39,924), electrical engineers (25,666), finance majors (21,936), mechanical engineers (21,456), electronic engineers (18,981), accounting majors (18,626), information technology engineers (18.468), international trade majors (16,813), and Chinese literature students (11,188). 

At the master’s level, 3,667 students majored in electrical engineering, 3,248 in information technology engineering, 2,900 in mechanical engineering, 2,323 in business administration, 2,198 in information management, 1,698 in electronics, 1,544 in law, 1,502 in chemical engineering, 1,486 in civil engineering, and 1,334 in chemistry.  At the doctoral level, 1,418 students majored in EE, 1,140 in information technology engineering, 1,052 in mechanical engineering, 716 in Chinese literature, 693 in chemistry, 594 in chemical engineering, 594 in civil engineering, 565 in business administration, 456 in material science and engineering, and 408 in information management (Ministry of Education, 2005).

The above figures indicate that emphasis at the undergraduate level is placed on management, on management and engineering at the master’s level, and on engineering at the doctoral level.  A distribution of budget allocations for 2006 for the purpose of talent cultivation in the Economics Ministry affiliated organizations finds that 20.5 percent goes to digital content, 18.3 percent to projects for expansion in supply of industrial R&D personnel at the master’s level, 11.1 percent to international trade, 8 percent to semiconductor, 5.6 percent to chip systems, 3.7 percent each to image development and digital learning, and 2.6 percent to intellectual property.  The figures show that the government is placing more emphasis on digital content and semiconductor as well as technology-related fields.  However, efforts must also be made to tap talents in areas like marketing, design and communication to promote the development of knowledge-intensive service industries.

2.      Innovation of Technological and Vocational Education

The development of a global economy has created a highly competitive marketplace. Many countries are reviewing their vocational education and training (VET) systems in the light of this trend. Rapid changes in the workplace and new technologies mean that a flexible responsive workforce with a high level of skills is a crucial factor in economic growth and competitiveness(British Council, 2005).

a. Continuing Education:

The world is facing the problem of an aging population.  Between 2005 and 2015, Taiwan’s workforce comprising those aged 50-64 will go up by 4.7 percent per year and that composed of those 65 years or older by 6.5 percent, indicating the middle- and higher-aged groups will become the main stay. As a result, technological and vocational education will play an important role in reeducating those employed and waiting for employment in a lifelong learning society.

b. Promotion of Marketing and Design:

Taiwan’s industry was built up from manufacturing, and has accumulated an abundance of domain knowledge and talents.  How to help those professionals absorb new technology is now the focal point in the cultivation of more talents to meet the challenge of globalization. The core of technological and vocational education should be centered on innovation, with a view to facilitating transformation of traditional industries by tapping human resources in the fields of design research and brand marketing.

c. Corresponding Courses:

As the service industries have become the mainstay of industrial development, Taiwan’s technological and vocational education must emphasize the importance of marketing and customer service, or, in other words, the creation of added value. Practical courses in concert with market needs are strongly suggested to follow the trend toward service-oriented industries.

d. Knowledge-Intensive Courses:

Technological and vocational education has to shift emphasis from labor- and technology-intensive courses to knowledge-based ones. Knowledge-based industries will be star industries in the next 10 years with enormous room for development (Council for Economic Planning and Development, 2005b). The focal point of technological and vocational education should be on knowledge-intensive education.

e. Tapping of Talents for Major Industries:

Taiwan's economy has entered a new phase of industrialization, and the existing production model of large-scale manufacturing has gradually lost its competitive advantage. In addition to high-tech development, Taiwan must build a more flexible productive organization system to increase the competitiveness of the knowledge-based economyGovernment Information Office ,2005

Since the service industries are the wave of the future and the practice of outsourcing is changing the mode of international division of labor, Taiwan must take measures to face the challenge squarely.  In addition to the development of high-tech, innovative and new service industries and the cultivation of talents needed, the government should also help make traditional industries sustainable by producing added value. Technological and vocational education must respond to national economic planning and development by tapping talents to meet industrial demand. 

f. Service Workforce:

To meet the coming of service industries, school departments and curricula must be adjusted to coordinate with the 12 major government-appointed service industries in fostering related talents.  These industries include finance, telecom, medical care, workforce distribution, and engineering consultation.  In particular, emphasis must be placed on the creative and cultural industry flourishing in the advanced countries, a move that will help expand domestic markets, create job opportunities, and materialize industrial transformation (Hsu M.J.2005b).

g. Workforce Planning:

To cope with globalization and the knowledge-based economic development, the authorities responsible for technological and vocational education should work with people in industrial and academic circles to work out a job forecast model that can provide accurate statistics for the government in its planning on human resources.  In line with the trend in the next 10 years, emphasis of technological and vocational education should be centered on manufacturing, medical care and social welfare, wholesale and retail.

As blue-color workers constitute the largest group in need, vocational high schools should be kept but their curricula must be amended to meet with the structural changes in industry.  As for white-color workers, the goal is to enhance professional capability through teaching rather than through research and academic development. Technological and vocational education must consider Overall conditions should be taken into consideration in planning for technological and vocational education rather than simply following the step of general education.     

h. International Accreditation:

As people carrying letters of accreditation are easier to get jobs, a system must be set up to award accreditation to people who have completed professional training.  New types of accreditation are to be identified through joint efforts between industries and schools. The technique-qualified accreditation should be promoted actively on integrating the current categories of occupation, while industries must be invited to participate in the compilation of indexes of core competency and curriculum. The credibility of certification should be set up for the support of industry to create more job opportunities. The system should be built with an understanding that it is following the world trend, which calls for promoting international accreditation to make Taiwan’s talents more competitive.

i. Amplification of On-the-Job Training:

The goal is to “combine learning and employment.”  In other words, under the principle of uniting “training, examination, and employment,” what should be avoided is the gap between talent cultivation and market demand and what should be promoted is the cooperation between school education and on-the-job training. Industrial immigration and transformation make it necessary for higher technology and vocational education to meet with the development of occupation clusters, combine social resources, promote strategy between school and industry, implement on-the-job training for employees, and develop the model for aptitude-based curricula. It is beneficial for the organization to upgrade career development of employees and increase the efficiency of management and competitiveness.            

j. Vocational Education for the Underprivileged:

Different from past, the technical art education in junior high schools is positioned as “ career exploration ” on the work market. Boys and girls must be provided with more job opportunities by gaining professional skills starting from vocational high schools or occupation programs of comprehensive high schools. Making available a sound and fair learning environment for the underprivileged is one of the most important jobs for vocational education. Similar opportunities must also be given to the unemployed and the aged among the underprivileged. Technological and vocational education plays a critical role in upholding fairness and justice for people with low social and economic status.

k. Education for All:

Take the United States for instance.  Of the 56 million jobs available between 2002 and 2012, some 42 million are open to those who have no university degrees (Occupational Outlook Quarterly, 2004). Vocational schools are the place where the underprivileged can undergo training to acquire basic work skills, while technological institutes and universities offer undergraduate degrees and advanced studies. Opportunities should also be given all the people to receive continuing education.    

l. Repositioning of Technological and Vocational Education:

Globalization has multidimensional impact on society, industry and education. To cope with globalization, technological and vocational education must be retrofitted in the structure of organizations. Stages from junior high schools have to be repositioned:

Junior High Schools: Students should be taught to understand current job markets.

Senior Vocational High Schools: The curriculum must be readjusted to provide multiple choices for students.

Junior Colleges: Technicians are trained.

Technology Universities: Talents should be trained for industrial upgrading.

V. CONCLUSION

Technological and vocational education was Taiwan’s engine of growth, which helped create an economic miracle of the twentieth century.  Because of globalization, Taiwan’s industrial structure has changed from a labor- and technology-intensive one to a knowledge-based one. As a result, technological and vocation education has to be adjusted in response to waves of the industrial revolution.  The change is highly likely to bring an end to the traditional mechanism for the cultivation of professional talents. While talent cultivation should not be confined to target industry, special attention must be paid to evoking dignity of learners.

As Taiwan has entered into an era in which technology, information and services are calling the shots, it is highly necessary to cultivate skilled workers for knowledge-based industries and those with capabilities of marketing brands and coming up with quality designs.  In short, the ultimate goal of technological and vocational education is to promote the upgrading of industries. The transformation of industry may lead to a crisis of technical and vocational education, but it offers an opportunity, too.  Technological and vocational education, if right decisions are made, has chances to make more progress (2006 Taiwan Development Perspectives).

 

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